🧭 Summary — Jerome Powell at NABE Annual Meeting (Oct 14, 2
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Updated at: 4 hours ago
{"content":"🧭 Summary — Jerome Powell at NABE Annual Meeting (Oct 14, 2025)
🔹 Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivered his final remarks before the upcoming FOMC meeting, outlining a cautiously balanced economic outlook:
🔹 Rates: The Fed maintains the benchmark rate at 4–4.25% after the first cut this year in September.
→ More cuts are likely ahead — two by year-end, one in 2026.
🔹 Labour Market: Powell noted a sharp slowdown in hiring, largely due to lower immigration and weaker labour participation. Despite this, consumer spending remains surprisingly strong.
🔹 Risks: The “balance of risks” has shifted — now leaning toward downside risks in employment rather than inflation.
🔹 Data & Shutdown: With the government shutdown delaying official data, the Fed relies on private data sources to guide its decisions.
🔹 AI & Innovation: Powell highlighted the emerging role of AI in research and economics, saying it’s “still early days, but the Fed is actively studying its potential impact.”
🔹 Balance Sheet: The Fed plans to end balance sheet runoff once reserves stabilize above “ample” levels.
In short — the Fed has pivoted from fighting inflation to guarding against a weaker job market, while staying open to future rate cuts as economic momentum slows.
💥 Bulls… our time is coming.
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